We show our work, so you can check every number.
We read 4,864 job postings, plus a 481-posting top-up, from a hundred large employers in Texas. For the 4,327 postings where we could identify the courses, the typical posting mapped to a median of four, and fewer than eight. The employers were sampled, not ranked. A posting is not a hire.
Fewer than a third of the postings we read require a bachelor's outright; roughly half mention one. We read the full text of 11,710 postings in three sets: 4,466 from the hundred large employers in Texas, 5,179 from defense employers, and 2,065 from the four largest defense contractors. “Requires outright” means the posting asks for a bachelor's with no “preferred,” “or equivalent” or “in lieu of” nearby. For the hundred-employer set, two independent reading methods agree on the mention rate to within a fraction of a point. At the four largest defense contractors, about a third require one outright; at other defense employers, about a quarter.
In the postings we read, bachelor's-level postings (1,827) and graduate-level postings (532), out of 4,006, each mapped to about five courses; high-school-level postings to about three. A degree requirement on a posting does not name a course.
2014–15 bachelor's graduates, nationally: 5.7 years on average from first enrollment to degree. Elapsed time, not time enrolled. At four-year public institutions, 37.5 percent of graduates finished within four calendar years.
https://nscresearchcenter.org/signaturereport11/In each Texas university system, one or more institutions must offer competency-based bachelor's degrees in each high-demand field, starting with the 2026–27 school year.
https://capitol.texas.gov/tlodocs/89R/billtext/pdf/HB04848F.pdfAbout twenty competency-based bachelor's programs at six public institutions in Texas. Institutions not named.
The first NFL draft was held February 8, 1936, at the Ritz-Carlton Hotel in Philadelphia. A college draft has been held every year since.
https://profootballhof.com/news/2018/04/the-nfls-first-draft-1936A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing more than 14 million workers across 55 economies. AI and big data top the fastest-growing skills; alongside them, employers expect creative thinking, resilience, flexibility and agility, curiosity and lifelong learning to keep rising in importance from 2025 to 2030.
https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2025/digest/“There are as many as 400,000 unfilled skilled trades jobs in the DIB today, and that number could grow to 2.5 million by 2030.”
https://docs.house.gov/meetings/AP/AP02/20260904/119533/HHRG-119-AP02-20260904-SD001.pdfThe first 15 semester credit hours a returning student earns are not counted toward the excess-hours limit, if the student completed at least 50 hours before a break in enrollment of 24 months or more.
https://texas.public.law/statutes/tex._educ._code_section_61.0595Texas “potential completers”: under 65, at least two years of full-time-equivalent progress in college, and no credential. 208,647 in the 2023 report cohort; 206,584 in the 2024 report.
https://nscresearchcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/SCNC2025DataAppendix.xlsxhttps://nscresearchcenter.org/some-college-no-credential/